Numbers then ARGUMENTS
For anyone who’s been getting into Conspiracy Theories (“There is no virus, it’s all a plot to keep us all indoors and then drug us with a vaccine, it’s about keeping the population down, there IS a virus but it’s caused by 5G masts, Silicon Valley led by Bill Gates wants a piece of AI far greater than what China’s got, it’s so we forget about Brexit…etc etc), well I’m first going to put up ACCURATE (as far as organisations such as the WHO, the CDC, and the Hopkins Medical bunch in the States, all references attached at foot) NUMBERS and HISTORICAL ESTIMATES in two sections.
Then we can discuss the implications later.
Global Statistics May 11th 2020
Country Total Cases Deaths
World 4.3m 285,000
USA 1.37m 81,000 240 deaths/million pop.
UK 0.22m 32,000* (ONS suggests 55,000) 480 deaths/million pop.
Italy 0.22m 31,000 510 deaths/million pop.
Spain 0.27m 27,000 570 deaths/million pop.
France 0.18m 26,000 390 deaths/million pop.
Brazil 0.16m 11,000 50 deaths/million pop.
Africa 0.06m 2,000 9 deaths/million pop.
Belgium 0.05m 9,000 760 deaths/million pop.
Germany 0.17m 8,000 90 deaths/million pop.
Iran 0.11m 7,000 80 deaths/million pop.
Russia 0.22m 2,000* (FT suggests 3,400) 10 deaths/million pop.
China 0.08m 5,000 (Doubts galore) 3 deaths/million pop.
Sweden 0.03m 3,000 320 deaths/million pop.
India 0.07m 2,000 2 deaths/million pop.
Ireland 0.02m 1,000 300 deaths/million pop.
Australia 0.01m 100 4 deaths/million pop.
So there’s the up to date figures, which are rounded up or down, and are, to say the least, interesting…how accurate they really are, who knows?
So why don’t we compare them with some facts for Major Epidemics We Have Known On Earth.
Global Pandemics
COVID-19 286,000 dead in 5 months, no vaccine, no treatments yet. 4.3m confirmed infected worldwide (3-4% mortality) 32,000 dead in UK in 4 months cf. 19,000 flu deaths average p.a. (28,000 worst/1,600 least)
SEASONAL FLU AVERAGES 500,000 dead p.a. up to 1 billion infected p.a. (0.1% fatality)
Current figures: INFLUENZA 2019-2020 up to 25,000 dead since October 2019 (up to 50m infected with it)… annual vaccines/retrovirals hugely successful
INFLUENZA 2009 up to 600,000 dead 20% world infected (1.4 billion) (0.03% fatality)
HIV/AIDS 36m dead (over 30m currently living with HIV) 1981-present…retrovirals successful
HONG KONG FLU like Influenza (1968) 1m dead inc 0.5 m of Hong Kong (15%)………0.5% mortality rate
SPANISH FLU influenza (1918-1920) up to 100m dead, up to 20% mortality rate…. 25m deaths in first 6 months (up to 40% world infected)
BLACK DEATH ….Bubonic Plague up to 200m dead
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And on that cheerful note… next post = some arguments !
(Comments below as usual please)
www.mphonline.org/worst-pandemics-in-history